Sundays one selection for me 27/7/14

Hit&Miss Sundays horse racing selection :

15:15 Carlisle (3yo+, 7f 200y, Class 5, 5 runners)
Going: Good to Firm

Selection : Naoise (IRE) 1 pt ew Odds 5.00 Skybet 
Dangers  Extraterrestrial , Kingpin, Mishaal

Who had his first run for new connections 5 days ago in a class 4, 7f race , wt 9-7
previously with  trainer J S Bolger now with Ollie Pears  is straight back in the mix today  at carlisle  and has only gone up 2 lbs from last race and with Jacob Butterfield claiming (5) and who was on Naoise last time out and would have learnt a lot more about Naoise from that race. Naoise was beaten by 2¼ Lengths by Jacob Black and was staying on but will need a strong run race this time round but with  Extraterrestrial, Kingpin, Al Muheer ,Mishaal mainly hold up horses where does the pace come from ? most runners have a chance today because of no pace. It now turns into a tactical chess race  imo. but i will stay with Naoise. 

Extraterrestrial : Has winning jockey of this race x2 and gets on well with horse T Hamilton.
Kingpin : Is down at a winnable rating/weight and was beating only a S/H by Extraterrestrial 26/08/13
Al Muheer: Form at Carlisle reads 0/4 race C4 Hasn't won since  08/06/13 1/15 wt 9-4 b  R 82
Mishaal : Only 4 up against it imo but since only win 03/09/13 Muss, race has worked out in that most of the 3yrs have  won races as 4yrs so Mishaal could be interesting.

oddschecker.com horse-racing-betting/carlisle/15:15/winner